Heat not likely to break for a few more weeks

Posted 9/3/19

Apologies to T.S. Eliot, but September -- not April -- is the cruelest month.

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Heat not likely to break for a few more weeks


Apologies to T.S. Eliot, but September -- not April -- is the cruelest month.

While most of the United States sees summer heat breaking and fall slipping in during September, residents of Madison County usually have to hump it out until at least mid-October to escape baking temperatures. In 2016, it wasn’t until the first week of November that the high temperature failed to hit 80 degrees (a cold snap on Nov. 6 that year showed a high temp of 63 degrees…it was back up to 80 degrees the next day).

Lower temperatures in the area aren’t anywhere on the foreseeable horizon, either.

“High pressure aloft has given us above-normal temperatures through the month of August, and it appears to hold strongly over our region for at least another two or three weeks,” said Bob French, chief meteorologist for KAGS in Bryan. “We should continue to see above-normal temperatures in the mid 90s. That high will have to break down or move farther to the west to allow us to get an early-season cold front.

“It doesn't look like that is going to happen in the next few weeks.”

The high-pressure system, however, lowers the threat of a tropical system impacting the area. But hurricane season is far from over. According to the National Hurricane Center, mid-August to the end of November is the most active time in the tropics.

“Tropical activity is likely to keep our attention during September,” French said. “Although Hurricane Dorian is expected to make that northward turn before entering the Gulf of Mexico, there is another disturbance moving westward across the Gulf this week.

“It should continue moving westward into Mexico without affecting us, but there are likely to be other threats from the tropics coming into the Gulf this month.”

French said football fans won’t have to swelter in the stands all season, though. Just for the first half of the season.

“We should see some cooler temperatures by early October just because of the sun's angle, and the high pressure will have had time to go elsewhere by then and we could get a fresh cold front,” he said. “Even though we should get a break from this summer heat, the National Weather Service's seasonal outlook has us near or slightly above normal temperatures.

“We can take near normal!”